ClearMarket

How to connect

• list_events

  Browse or search ClearMarket prediction-market events. Filter by category, platform, Resolution Clarity Grade, or free-text (set `q` to search event questions, e.g. "recession", "bitcoin 150k", "fed rate"). Returns compact graded summaries (slug, question, venues covered, primary grade, price). Start here when you have a topic but not a slug; then call get_event for the full graded record. Categories: economics, financials, crypto, companies, technology, politics, geopolitics, health, climate.

• get_event

  Fetch the full ClearMarket record for one event by slug: the canonical question, every linked market across Kalshi and Polymarket, each market's current price + Resolution Clarity Grade (A/B/C) + resolution-source provenance, the canonical question_id (and also_on: the same question priced on other venues), and the upcoming catalyst dates that move it before it resolves. Use when you need the authoritative, graded, cross-venue view of a SPECIFIC event before reasoning about or acting on a predic

• get_market

  Fetch one market by market_id: raw question, current price / implied probability, the Resolution Clarity Grade with the factors behind it, full resolution-source provenance (who resolves it, named source, source type & quality), the canonical question_id, and also_on (the same question priced on other venues, with prices). Use when you have a specific market and need its resolution trustworthiness and provenance before trusting its price.

• list_upcoming_catalysts

  List scheduled catalysts (CPI, jobs, FOMC, GDP, large-cap earnings) in the next N days that move prediction-market prices BEFORE those markets resolve — a cross-event view across the whole calendar. Each entry is provenanced to its authoritative source (BLS, Fed, etc.). Use to find what scheduled events will reprice the prediction-market universe soon.

• list_signals

  Browse the CM Signal daily wire — short, structured prediction-market bulletins (the price is the lede, news is context). Filter by event_id (every wire touching a specific event), category, venue, or detection type (news_cycle, cross_venue_divergence, benchmark_drift, volume_spike). Returns compact records, newest first; call get_signal for the full bulletin. Use to find ClearMarket's editorial read on what is moving.

• get_signal

  Fetch one full CM Signal wire by slug: headline, the 3-5 structured bullets, atomic claims with per-field provenance tiers, the target + linked events, primary and related markets with prices, and sources. Use when you have a wire slug (from list_signals) and need the complete bulletin with its proof chain.

Tool source: tools/list (live) · last probed 2026-10-01

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